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Using Election Forensics to Detect Fraud and Strategic Behavior in the Philippines

Sat, March 18, 3:00 to 5:00pm, Sheraton Centre Toronto Hotel, Floor: 4th Floor, Forest Hill

Abstract

This paper uses the tools of election forensics to investigate electoral fraud and strategic behavior in the Philippines. We first focus on how the prevalence and pattern of electoral fraud has changed over the course of the post-Marcos Philippine elections. We pay particular attention to the controversial 2004 presidential election and the effects of moving to automated counting in 2010. We then use similar tools to explore the extent to which candidates, ostensibly working together as part of partisan teams, defect and direct their voters to exclude their co-partisans allies (called junking in the Philippines).

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