Factors That Predict New Operating Levy Passage in Ohio, 2007-2010

• In Event: State and Local Politics of School Reform

Abstract

Utilizing logistic regression with discrete-time hazard modeling, this longitudinal study (2007-2010) examined factor associated with new operating levy passage in Ohio school districts, finding fringe benefits as percentage of district budget significantly related to a decrease in the likelihood of passage. While per pupil campaign expenditures were significantly related to passage, campaign signage was the only discrete campaign expenditure associated with voter approval. The number of attempts or time of year was not related to levy passage. We conclude that unlike school construction bonds, the often ambiguous products of new operating levies may be unclear to voters (other than a higher tax burden), possibly mitigating the likelihood of passage regardless of time of year and number of attempts.

Authors

• William Kyle Ingle, Bowling Green State University

• Paul Andrew Johnson, Bowling Green State University

• Matt Givens, Bowling Green State University

• Jerry Rampelt, Support Ohio Schools