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This study posits new factors as potential predictors of dropout in the higher education system. These factors are characteristic of the individual's academic decision-making patterns. We examined the predictability of voluntary dropout based on the characteristics of the applicant (scholastic abilities, academic decision-making patterns and demographic characteristics) and the predictability of forced dropout based on scholastic abilities. The study was based on three samples of applicants (N=1,001, N=1,227 and N=527) for first-year undergraduate studies. 6% of the variance in voluntary dropout was accounted for by our hypothesized model and 10% of the variance in forced dropout was accounted for by scholastic abilities. Even with this limited explanatory power, the models proposed can contribute to sensitivity of higher education admissions.
Tamar Kennet-Cohen, National Institute for Testing & Evaluation
Itamar Gati, Hebrew University of Jerusalem