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Data-Dependent Priors for Latent Growth Models with Small Samples

Sat, April 18, 8:15 to 10:15am, Marriott, Floor: Fourth Level, Clark

Abstract

In latent growth models (LGMs) with small samples, the selection of a prior for the factor covariance matrix is crucial since the prior has a greater relative impact on the posterior distributions relative to larger sample sizes. This study discusses small samples in LGMs, prior selection for LGMs with Bayesian estimation, and then conducts a simulation to compare the small sample performance of different priors to each other and to traditional maximum likelihood estimates. An Empirical Bayes approach using data-dependent priors for the factor covariance matrix with small samples is outlined and shown in a simulation to provide reasonable credibility intervals, reduced parameter bias, and increased statistical power over both maximum likelihood and commonly used Bayesian prior distributions.

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