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Be(com)ing (Over)Confident? The Role of Task Experience and Gender in Attitudinal and Cognitive Overconfidence

Mon, April 11, 2:45 to 4:15pm, Convention Center, Floor: Level One, Room 143 B

Abstract

Overconfidence, an inflated opinion of one's ability or performance (Moore & Healy, 2008; Berner & Graber, 2008), is a key challenge to organizations that rely on their professionals' judgments. To better understand - and overcome - overconfidence, it is important to consider the roots of this phenomenon. In this study we look at how task experience (e.g. Zacharakis & Shepherd, 2011), and gender (e.g. Hardies, Breesch & Branson, 2011, 2013) are related to two separate forms of overconfidence: trait and state overconfidence (Berner & Graber, 2008). We test these relationships in a professional setting using a representative task, adding to prior studies using general knowledge tasks and / or student samples (Moore & Healy, 2008).

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