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In China, higher education dramatically expanded its enrollment at all tiers of institutions from 1999 to 2012. Using the nationally representative student survey data and confidential institutional data, and the value-added model and random effect model, this paper estimates the impacts of the enrollment expansion on higher education access and production in China. The exogenous increase in the enrollment provides a natural experimental design to address the selection bias. Results show that the expansion negatively impacted the access (for the disadvantaged students) and production in the short term, and the stratified access and production persisted over time during the expansion.
Yanqing Ding, Peking University
Xiaoyang Ye, University of Michigan
Yinduo Wu, Peking University
Jin Yang, Peking University