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The Impact of Prior Distributions for Variance Parameters in Cross-Classified Multiple-Membership Random Effects Modeling

Thu, April 27, 4:05 to 5:35pm, Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center, Floor: River Level, Room 7C

Abstract

This simulation study examines how the selection of priors affects variance parameter estimates in cross-classified multiple membership random effects modeling. Two prior distributions were used: uniform distribution and inverse gamma distribution with four different scale factors (1, 1), (.01, .01), (.001, .001), and (1, .001). Among the five priors, inverse-gamma distribution (.001, .001) resulted in the smallest relative bias. Substantial over-estimation of the level two variance component was identified for both uniform distribution and inverse-gamma distribution (1, 1). With a larger number of level two units, the degree of relative bias was diminished. The results suggest that researchers should be cautious in selecting accurate priors, especially with a relatively small number of level two units.

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