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Session Type: Symposium
Educational data are often seasonal, with increases in achievement test scores between fall and spring accompanied by decreases during the summer when students are not in school. Yet, these seasonal patterns are often ignored when estimating parameters relevant to education policy and practice. In this symposium, we describe a statistical model that can be used to simultaneously estimate between- and within-year growth, helping account for seasonality. We then show how this model can be used to understand achievement gaps and school contributions to student growth in the presence of summer learning loss. Results suggest that our model fits seasonal data better than standard polynomial growth models, and that the policy and practice metrics we estimate appear sensitive to seasonality.
Modeling Growth by Adding Curves: The Compound Polynomial for Seasonal Time Series - Yeow Thum, NWEA
Seasonal Comparisons of the Black-White Achievement Gap - Megan Kuhfeld, NWEA
Estimating School Contributions to Student Growth in the Presence of Seasonality - James Soland, NWEA