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Predicting Student Retention at a Four-Year University: An Examination of Student and Department Predictors

Sun, April 11, 10:40am to 12:10pm EDT (10:40am to 12:10pm EDT), Division J, Division J - Section 2b Paper and Symposium Sessions 2

Abstract

This study examines factors that predict first-year retention including student-level variables such as high school GPA and ACT score and membership in a STEM department. To do so, this study employed a 2-level hierarchical generalized linear modeling (HGLM) with students nested within departments. The results suggest that, at level 1, ACT score and first-semester college GPA were significant predictors of retention. Further, the results reveal that at level 2, there was a difference in retention between STEM and non-STEM departments after controlling for the level-1 covariates, with students in STEM departments more likely to be retained compared to those in non-STEM departments.

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