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Are Gun Ownership Rates Associated With Firearms Incidents in Schools? An Analysis of 40 Years of Data

Fri, April 9, 9:30 to 10:30am EDT (9:30 to 10:30am EDT), SIG Sessions, SIG-School Community, Climate, and Culture Roundtable Sessions

Abstract

School shootings are arguably the most pressing concern facing K-12 public education in the United States. To reduce school shootings, many policymakers have proposed broader restrictions on firearms. Yet, little empirical research has tested the relationship between school-based firearms’ incidents and access to firearms. This study examines the relationship between state gun ownership rates and school-based firearms incidents by linking multiple data sources from 1980 to 2019. Results suggest that firearms’ ownership rates have declined over time and that school-based firearms incidents skyrocketed to unprecedented levels in both 2018 and 2019. Findings are inconclusive on whether gun ownership rates are associated with school-based firearms’ incidents, but patterns indicate that certain regulations may be necessary to curb youth access to firearms.

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