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Children often solve mathematical equivalence problems incorrectly. According to the change-resistance account, children’s difficulty stems from their narrow experience with arithmetic which causes them to overgeneralize arithmetic-specific strategies to mathematical equivalence problems. The current study examined a previously untested assumption of the change-resistance account that suggests children overgeneralize these arithmetic-specific strategies because they are confident in their effectiveness. Children in first, second, and third grade solved mathematical equivalence problems and rated their certainty in their responses. In Study 1 (n = 52) and Study 2 (n = 147), children were more confident when using arithmetic-specific strategies than when they used other incorrect strategies. The results are consistent with the change-resistance theory and have implications for teaching mathematical equivalence.