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National administrative data from England were used to conduct the first longitudinal analysis of school-based identification of ASD among 550,000 pupils followed from entry to school at age 5 to age 11. Survival analysis produced Hazard Ratios (HRs) for time to first identification of ASD, controlling for pupils’ sex, socio-economic status and prior attainment and social-emotional development at age 5. There was substantial under-representation of pupils of Asian heritage, with HR’s around half those of White British pupils. Being a boy, of low SES and having a low score on the Personal, Social and Emotional Development scale were associated with higher identification of ASD, but did not explain the ethnic under-representation. Language and cultural factors and implications for policy are discussed.