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“Black students are three times more likely to be suspended and expelled than their White peers” (Erase Racism, 2019, p. 16). Disproportionate rates of exclusionary discipline reduce educational access and undermine school engagement for African American students, contributing to negative educational and occupational outcomes. Disturbingly, while overall counts of out-of-school suspension and African American student enrollment in public schools is trending downward (i.e., 18% in school year 2009-10 [OCR, 2012], 16% in school year 2012-13 [OCR, 2014], and 15% in school year 2015-16 [OCR, 2018]), out-of-school suspension rates for African American students are trending upward. For school years 2011-12 and 2015-16, African American students comprised 32% (OCR, 2014) and 39% (OCR, 2018), respectively, of students assigned one or more out-of-school suspensions.
Though numerous studies document disparities in exclusionary discipline, this is the first to utilize 2015-16 and 2017-18 U.S. Department of Education Civil Rights Data Collection (CRDC) data and National Center for Education Statistics Common Core of Data (CCD) to compare incident rates across two different presidential administrations. Utilizing zero-inflated negative binomial regression analyses, this study examines whether the proportion of African American male students predicts the reporting and rates of out-of-school suspension across the 2015-16 and 2017-18 school years while controlling for a robust set of school characteristics. For both survey years, we found that schools in the middle quartiles of African American male student enrollment were at greatest risk for higher counts and incident rates of students assigned out-of-school suspension. Further, out-of-school suspension incident rates for schools in the middle quartiles of African American male student enrollment increased from 2015-16 to 2017-18.