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Dropout rates in German university STEM-courses are at a worryingly high level of 43% and associated with considerable costs. (Heublein et al., 2020). Using the Student Integration Model (SIM, Tinto, 1975) and Self-Determination Theory (SDT, Deci & Ryan, 2002), this study investigates the extent to which sense of belonging and self-efficacy affect STEM students' dropout intentions via motivational regulation styles. Using data from two measuring points (N=1403) path models were run to test correlation (Model1) and mediation (Model2) hypotheses. Model 1 fits the data well (χ2=36.137; df=9; p=<.001; CFI=.980; RMSEA=.055; SRMR=.019). Self-efficacy and dropout intention at the first semester predict dropout intention one year later. The mediation assumptions (Model 2) could not be supported.