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The Local Effect of College Closures in the United States

Sat, April 13, 7:45 to 9:15am, Pennsylvania Convention Center, Floor: Level 200, Exhibit Hall B

Abstract

Given theoretical justification for and empirical evidence of the positive local effect of colleges, I investigate whether the absence of a college due to its closure affects local college enrollment, GDP, or business activity at the county level. I leverage synthetic control methods and focus on the cases of three private, not-for-private college closures. I do not detect effects in terms of local college enrollment, suggesting that alternative options or substitutes were available in other neighboring districts. For economic outcomes, I find that even when closures do not move the needle in the overall economy, specific industries at certain localities may experience repercussions.

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