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Mathematics education in East Asia has been widely investigated, with few studies paying attention to the attributes of the low-mathematics performers in the world. Therefore, this study compares four Machine Learning (ML) algorithms, namely Support Vector Machine (SVM), Decision Tree (DT), Logistic Regression (LR), and K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN), in classifying the mathematics performance of East Asian students based on mathematics-specific features from the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) 2022 data. The results showed that (1) these four ML algorithms yielded similar predictive performance; (2) mathematics self-efficacy was a salient positive predictor of mathematics performance; and (3) cognitive activation was a salient but negative predictor. Theoretical, methodological, and practical contributions and implications in the context of mathematics are discussed.