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This study examines MOOC dropout behavior by analyzing learners' intentions using three personas: Knowledge Seekers, Undecided Explorers, and Goal-Oriented Learners (Authors, 2024). Employing survival analysis, we found that intentions and participation behaviors, such as unique videos watched, problems attempted, and active days, significantly predict lower dropout rates over demographic factors like age and gender identity. Our findings highlight the importance of aligning learner intentions with specific course behaviors to support self-regulation and reduce dropout rates. We identify future research directions that can further explore the relationships between learner intentions and reducing MOOC dropout rates.