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Recent social policy research has increasingly highlighted the racialized nature of the U.S. tax and transfer system by demonstrating how policy design features, including decentralization, administrative practices, and administrative burdens, are shaped by racial logics (Soss et al. 2011; Michener 2020; Fusaro 2021). Building on this research and extending our prior work (Bruch et al. 2023), we ask how the decentralization of the U.S. tax and transfer system has shaped racial inequities in poverty alleviation over time. While earlier studies have linked cross-state policy variation to disparities in socioeconomic wellbeing (Laird et al. 2018; Schaefer et al. 2020; Daiger von Gleichen and Parolin 2020), in this paper we operationalize decentralization by classifying non-market income into four mechanisms, federal (centralized) transfers and taxes, and state (decentralized) transfers and taxes, and assess their distinct contributions to poverty reduction. Our analysis proceeds in three stages. Using 1994–2019 Current Population Survey ASEC data and the Supplemental Poverty Measure, we first chart Black-White disparities in poverty and poverty reduction over time. Second, we use a sequence-independent decomposition (Azevedo, Sanfelice, and Nguyen 2012) to estimate the shifting impact of each policy mechanism on poverty reduction for Black and White families. Third, we apply a second decomposition method to isolate the drivers of changes in Black and White families’ poverty reduction over time (DiNardo, Fortin, and Lemieux 1996; Parolin and Gornick 2021). This three-part approach allows us to identify patterns in racialized poverty reduction and then disentangle the influence of policy decentralization from demographic and labor market dynamics.
REFERENCES
Azevedo, João Pedro, Viviane Sanfelice, and Minh C. Nguyen. 2012. “Shapley Decomposition by Components of a Welfare Aggregate.” MPRA Paper no. 85584. University Library, Munich.
Bruch, Sarah K., Joseph van der Naald, and Janet C. Gornick. 2023. “Poverty Reduction through Federal and State Policy Mechanisms: Variation Over Time and Across the US States.” Social Service Review 97(2): 270-319.
Daiger von Gleichen, Rosa, and Zachary Parolin. 2020. "Varieties of liberalism: A comparative analysis of family policy and poverty outcomes across the 50 United States." Social Policy & Administration 54(6): 933-951.
DiNardo, J., Nicole M. Fortin, and Thomas Lemieux. 1996. “Labor Market Institutions and the Distribution of Wages, 1973–1992: A Semiparametric Approach.” Econometrica 64(5):1001-44.
Fusaro, Vincent A. 2021. “Operationalizing the Salience of Race to State Social Policy: A Comparison of Approaches with Application to TANF.” Journal of Policy Practice and Research 2: 213-232.
Laird, Jennifer, Zachary Parolin, Jane Waldfogel, and Christopher Wimer. 2018. “Poor State, Rich State: Understanding the Variability of Poverty Rates across U.S. States.” Sociological Science 5: 628-652. https://sociologicalscience.com/articles-v5-26-628/.
Michener, Jamila. 2020. “Race, Politics, and the Affordable Care Act.” Journal of Health Politics, Policy, and Law 45(4): 547-566.
Parolin, Zachary, and Janet C. Gornick. 2021. “Pathways toward Inclusive Income Growth: A Comparative Decomposition of National Growth Profiles.” American Sociological Review 86(6):1131–63.
Soss, Joe, Richard C. Fording, and Sanford F. Schram. 2011. Disciplining the Poor: Neoliberal Paternalism and the Persistent Power of Race. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.