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Administrative Structure and Welfare Program Management: Executive Power, Merit Systems, and State Variation

Thursday, November 5, 1:45 to 3:15pm, Property: Boston Marriott Copley Place, Floor: 4th Floor, Room: Salon K

Abstract

Why do administratively similar public programs produce systematically different outcomes across U.S. states? While existing research emphasizes political ideology, fiscal capacity, and policy design, less attention has been paid to how state administrative structures shape program management and implementation. This paper examines whether variation in gubernatorial authority and merit-based civil service protections helps explain cross-state differences in welfare program administration, with particular attention to ongoing concerns about the politicization of administration and its implications for governance. Drawing on a 50-state panel from the Correlates of State Policy dataset (1993–2002), the analysis estimates state and year fixed-effects models linking institutional features of state governance to two indicators of program management: (1) Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) recipiency rates and (2) administrative spending on employment security and social insurance. These outcomes are interpreted not only as policy outputs, but as reflections of underlying administrative processes, discretion, and organizational capacity. The models incorporate standard controls for socioeconomic conditions, including poverty and unemployment, allowing for a comparison between need-based demand and institutionally mediated variation in program implementation. The findings indicate that formal gubernatorial power is not systematically associated with welfare program outcomes once state and temporal heterogeneity are accounted for, suggesting limits to top-down political control as a determinant of administrative performance. In contrast, merit-system structures are negatively associated with SNAP recipiency rates, indicating that more insulated bureaucracies may produce more rule-bound and potentially restrictive patterns of program access. These results suggest that variation in program management is shaped less by formal executive authority than by the degree of bureaucratic insulation embedded in civil service systems. The paper contributes to public management research by providing an empirical test of how institutional arrangements shape administrative behavior across jurisdictions. More broadly, it demonstrates that variation in administrative structures—not just policy choices—can generate meaningful differences in program implementation, with implications for debates on administrative capacity, politicization, and the design of intergovernmental programs in a fragmented federal system.

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