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Economic backwardness, i.e., slow rates of technological progress in certain states, constitutes one of the central topics in political economy of development. Yet, researchers have not reached a shared consensus regarding causes of technological stagnation. We argue that firms can use two strategies to gain edge in competition: innovating themselves or blocking innovations developed by competitors. At the firm level, state-owned firms tend to invest in blocking rather than innovate because marginal returns to blocking, especially via political connections, exceed those of investments in R&D. At the country level, democratic institutions incentivize firms’ investment in innovations because politicians in democracies are more limited in their abilities to block technologies. A firm’s decision to innovate is, therefore, largely mediated by political institutions: while democratic settings incentivize firms to invest in innovations, authoritarian settings incentivize firms to block innovations. We employ Bayesian multi-level model that allows us to test both firm-level and country-level hypotheses within a unified framework and thereby provide one of the most comprehensive assessments of political determinants of economic backwardness. The empirical results corroborate our hypotheses.
Evgeny Sedashov, SUNY at Binghamton
Dina Rosenberg, National Research University - Higher School of Economics