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Session Submission Type: Full Paper Panel
Do climatic changes and extremes affect the risk and dynamics of violent conflict? Will the trajectory of future climate change shape global conflict propensity? This panel explores key security implications of climate change along multiple dimensions, spanning various levels of spatial resolution from grid cells to countries; various temporal scopes from snapshots to end-of-century projections; and various scientific tools from regression models via simulations to machine-learning. Moreover, panel participants range from the next generation of experts to established leaders in the field, representing prominent institutions across six countries in Europe and the US. Together, the presentations will showcase cutting-edge research on climate security and present new insights to pressing questions with immediate relevance for policy and practice.
Climate, Conflict and Social Capital in Africa - Garrett Michael Albistegui Adler, Stanford University
Predicting Impacts of Climate Change on Conflict in Kenya Using National Surveys - Andrew Martin Linke, University of Utah; Frank D.W. Witmer, University of Alaska Anchorage; John V. O'Loughlin, University of Colorado
Projecting Conflict Under Climate Change: An Artificial Intelligence Application - Paola Vesco, Ca' Foscari University of Venice; Gabriele Accarino, University of Salento, Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change; Maria Luisa Gabrielli; Arthur Essenfelder, CMCC and Ca' Foscari University of Venice; Malcolm N. Mistry, Ca' Foscari University of Venice; Giovanni Aloisio, University of Salento, Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change
Climate-sensitive Armed Conflict Projections for the 21st Century - Elisabeth Gilmore, Clark University; HÃ¥vard Hegre, Uppsala University; Kristina Petrova, Uppsala University; Jonas Nordkvelle, Peace Research Institute Oslo; Halvard Buhaug, Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO); Nina von Uexkull, Uppsala University