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Session Submission Type: Full Paper Panel
Rural masses in the developing world have frequently been argued to lack the capacity to engage in collective action and thus threaten the political survival of rulers. Particularly in autocracies, their large numbers are said to bloat the cost of mobilization while minimizing per capita stakes, whereas the distance to the centers of political power further reduces their threat potential. The assumed results are policies unfavorable to rural masses, particularly smallholders, and the neglect of their grievances. In recent years, however, a growing political science literature has presented evidence that rural masses can indeed constitute and turn into threats to authoritarian governments, whether through the ballot or violent means, reflected through the avoidance or withdrawal of policies that would affect them negatively. This panel hosts papers that add to this research by identifying under which conditions such threats can emerge. They employ both qualitative and quantitative methods, using data from Africa, Asia and Latin America.
Agricultural Production Shocks, Resilience and Rural Conflict - Nina von Uexkull, Uppsala University
Buying off the Revolution: Evidence from the Colombian National Peasant Movement - Maria Del Pilar Lopez Uribe, London School of Economics
Group Size, Attribution, and the Politics of Export Bans in Africa - Nicolai Schulz, London School of Economics and Political Science