Political Prediction in the Trump Era

Session Submission Type: Roundtable

Session Description

This round table will feature a discussion of how new features of the polarized era of American politics have combined with long-term election fundamentals to impact election forecasting in the Trump Era. The panel brings together a mix of quantitative and qualitative election forecasters for a round-table discussion of the upcoming 2020 cycle with a lively audience Q&A component.

Sub Unit

• Related Groups / Political Forecasting Group

Chair

• Rachel Lynn Bitecofer Christopher Newport University

Presenters

• Alan I. Abramowitz Emory University

• Rachel Lynn Bitecofer Christopher Newport University

• Kyle Kondik University of Virginia

• George Elliott Morris The Economist