A Statistical Study of Swing State Behavior in the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election

• In Event: Elections During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Abstract

This paper studies factors that influenced the voting behavior of 15 key swing states in the 2020 United States presidential election by linking statistical clustering methods with notable political events. In addition to key decisions made in the Trump administration, factors unique to this presidential election such as the global COVID-19 pandemic and the Black Lives Matter movement were investigated.

Author

• Mason Chen, Stanford OHS