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Tracing Policy in Congress

Fri, October 1, 7:00 to 7:30am PDT (7:00 to 7:30am PDT), TBA

Abstract

Legislative studies is often hampered by the necessity of observing policy changes and the preferences and behavior of members indirectly through coarse and heavily constrained outcome measures such as votes and bill passage. However, recent advances in text analysis methods have provided insight into the processes underlying lawmaking (e.g. Casas, Denny, and Wilkerson 2020; Preece and Eatough). In this paper, we develop an approach to determining how individual policy provisions move through the legislative process in the US Congress by estimating the similarity between the sections of bills considered in Congress, resulting in more than 100 billion pairwise comparisons. We apply these estimates to an investigation of logrolling and party influence, showcasing the variety of ways these data will be of use to scholars.

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