Dynamics of RCV Support: Evidence from Collab. Multiracial Post-Election Survey

• In Event: Ranked-Choice Voting in a Difficult Voting-Rights Climate

Abstract

This paper presents the results from a national survey experiment that tests how voters evaluate alternative voting rules, like ranked choice voting (RCV). We examine data from the 2020 Collaborative Multiracial Post-Election Survey (CMPS). The survey includes large samples of Latino, Black, Asian American, and White respondents, allowing for comparisons across racial groups. The ability to have one’s vote transfer to a second or third choice candidate is a major selling point of RCV. However, there is little direct evidence indicating whether American voters really like this feature. We find that a short explanation of the vote transfer properties of RCV does not increase public support for the voting rule. Furthermore, when given a choice between the single and ranked voting methods, a large majority prefers the status quo option of the single vote. Our study finds that majority preferences for the single vote also prevail among representative samples of Latino, Black, and Asian American respondents. However, Latino, Black, and Asian American respondents evaluate ranked choice voting more positively and express a stronger preference for RCV than White respondents. Furthermore, communicating that RCV helps elect more women and people of color increases preferences for RCV among Latino, Black, and Asian American voters, but not among White voters. Finally, partisanship is an inconsistent predictor of support for voting rules across racial groups. Jurisdictions adopting ranked choice voting will need sustained voter education campaigns to overcome initial public resistance to new voting rules.

Authors

• Joseph Anthony, SUNY Cortland

• David C. Kimball, University of Missouri, St. Louis

• Jack Santucci, Drexel University

• Jamil Shatema Scott, Georgetown University