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Twitter Bots and the Polarization of COVID-19 Vaccine

Thu, September 15, 8:00 to 9:30am, TBA

Abstract

The Covid-19 vaccine was strongly politicized, with conservative media and Republican politicians often expressing more negative attitudes and distrust towards the vaccine, resulting in higher levels of misinformation and distrust among conservatives (Motta et al., 2020). These partisan gaps in perceptions resulted in dramatic differences in vaccine coverage between Trump and Biden supporters (Kates et al., 2021).
Among the spreaders of vaccine misinformation online are social bots. While some studies argued that overall bots express more pro-vaccine positions (Yuan et al., 2019) and thus have limited role in spreading anti-vaccine sentiment (Dunn et al., 2020), others found that social bots use a more negative tone in regard to vaccines compared to humans (Shi et al., 2020). Worryingly, studies found that bots promoted partisan and politicized discourse around vaccines (Walter et al., 2020). These communication strategies, often resulting in echo chambers and amplification, were found to be particularly influential, especially when employed by conservative bots (Luceri et al., 2019).
In light of these findings, and the rising concern over the politicization of vaccines and the rise of anti-vaccine sentiment associated with the conservative right and Republican counties and states,, this study examines the politicization of vaccines by Twitter bots during the outbreak of the Omicron variant in late 2021.Specifically, we will compare the linguistic nature of vaccine-related discourse by human and social bots during the Omicron outbreak, with a focus on politicized discourse, i.e., tweets about the vaccine that also mentioned Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and the Democratic and Republican parties.
Using the Academic Twitter API, we collected all tweets published between November 1st 2021 and December 31 2021, that included the terms “vaccine” and “Trump” or “Biden” or Republican” or “Democrat” (N = 2,128,819 tweets). We will use a mixed-method approach to analyze the data, combining unsupervised machine learning -- analysis of topic modeling networks (ANTMN, Walter & Ophir, 2019) to identify primary and specific themes of discourse used by human and social bots, and supplemented by a manual content analysis to evaluate the sentiment. We use the Botometer Pro API to identify bots in our data, and compare the levels of politicization of the Covid-19 vaccine among bots and humans. In other words, we will examine RQ1) whether bots spread more politicized discourse than humans, RQ2) whether such discourse was more positive or negative in sentiment towards the vaccines, and RQ3) whether bots promoted a specific political side in the debate. Practical and theoretical implications will be discussed.
References
Dunn, A. G., Surian, D., Dalmazzo, J., Rezazadegan, D., Steffens, M., Dyda, A., Leask, J., Coiera, E., Dey, A., & Mandl, K. D. (2020). Limited Role of Bots in Spreading Vaccine-Critical Information Among Active Twitter Users in the United States: 2017–2019. American Journal of Public Health, 110(Suppl 3), S319–S325. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2020.305902
Kates, J., Tolbert, J., & Orgera, K. (2021, September 14). The Red/Blue Divide in COVID-19 Vaccination Rates. KFF. https://www.kff.org/policy-watch/the-red-blue-divide-in-Covid-19-vaccination-rates/
Luceri, L., Deb, A., Badawy, A., & Ferrara, E. (2019). Red Bots Do It Better:Comparative Analysis of Social Bot Partisan Behavior. Companion Proceedings of The 2019 World Wide Web Conference, 1007–1012. https://doi.org/10.1145/3308560.3316735
Motta, M., Stecula, D., & Farhart, C. (2020). How Right-Leaning Media Coverage of COVID-19 Facilitated the Spread of Misinformation in the Early Stages of the Pandemic in the U.S. Canadian Journal of Political Science, 53(2), 335–342. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0008423920000396
Shi, W., Liu, D., Yang, J., Zhang, J., Wen, S., & Su, J. (2020). Social Bots’ Sentiment Engagement in Health Emergencies: A Topic-Based Analysis of the COVID-19 Pandemic Discussions on Twitter. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 17(22), 8701. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17228701
Walter, D., & Ophir, Y. (2019). News Frame Analysis: An Inductive Mixed-method Computational Approach. Communication Methods and Measures, 13(4), 248–266. https://doi.org/10.1080/19312458.2019.1639145
Walter, D., Ophir, Y., & Jamieson, K. H. (2020). Russian Twitter Accounts and the Partisan Polarization of Vaccine Discourse, 2015–2017. American Journal of Public Health, 110(5), 718–724. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2019.305564
Yuan, X., Schuchard, R. J., & Crooks, A. T. (2019). Examining Emergent Communities and Social Bots Within the Polarized Online Vaccination Debate in Twitter. Social Media + Society, 5(3), 2056305119865465. https://doi.org/10.1177/2056305119865465

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