Related Groups / Political Forecasting Group

(Paper) Forecasting in a Polarized Era: Generic Ballot Model and the 2026 Midterms - Alan I. Abramowitz, Emory University

(Paper) Forecasting House Midterms from Pre-Election Preferences of Independent Voters - Gary C. Jacobson, University of California, San Diego

(Paper) The Iron Law of Congressional Midterm Loss: The 2026 Challenge - Debra Lynn Leiter, University of Missouri-Kansas City; Michael S. Lewis-Beck, University of Iowa; Mary Stegmaier, University of Missouri

(Paper) Will the Republicans Lose Control of Congress in 2026? A Referendum Model - Charles P. Tien, CUNY, Hunter College & The Graduate Center; Michael S. Lewis-Beck, University of Iowa

(Paper) Forecasting the 2026 U.S. House Election at the District Level - Peter Enns, Cornell University; Leigh Farah, Cornell University; Thomas Gareau-Paquette, Cornell University; Claudia L Miner, Cornell University

Ruth Dassonneville KU Leuven