Related Groups / Political Forecasting Group

(Paper) A Bayesian Considers Echo Chambers, Group Viewpoints, and Information Accuracy - Thomas Rietz, The University of Iowa

(Paper) Changing Maps and Outcomes: Gerrymander Potential in Forecasting the 2026 Midterms - Jay A. DeSart, Utah Valley University

(Paper) Forecasting Cabinet Duration: A Non-Linear Machine Learning Approach - Unregistered Participant; Sota Kato, International University of Japan; Xuan Luo, The University of Tokyo; Genki Osada, LY Corporation; Iku Yoshimoto, Univresity of Tokyo

(Paper) Testing for Biases in IEM Winner-Takes-All Markets - Thomas S. Gruca, University of Iowa; Thomas Rietz, The University of Iowa

Debra Lynn Leiter University of Missouri-Kansas City

David Muchlinski Georgia Institute of Technology