Linking Sociopolitical Instability with Fertility: General and Elaborated Models

• In Event: 546 - Section on Sociology of Population Roundtable Session (one-hour).
  In Refereed Roundtable: Table 03. Inequality, Uncertainty, and Fertility

Abstract

Societal instability has a significant and often times paradoxical impact on fertility behavior and outcomes. Somtimes, like after the economic crisis in iceland and terrorist attack of 07/11/2001, fertility goes up while in other instances like during trasnition to market economy and democracy in the countires of Eastern and Central Europe, fertility went into a steep decline.
In the paper I propose a model that allows to tests impacts of the sociopolitical instabilities of various types, magnitude and instensity on fertility using major assumptions of uncertainty reduction theory.

Author

• Yuri A. Frantsuz, University of Humanities and Social Sciences