Corruption and Homicide Rates in India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh: A Linear Forecast

• In Event: Defining and Predicting Violence in Various Cultural Contexts

Abstract

The criminal justice systems in India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh are often labeled as corrupt social and political institutions. The enactment of state apparatus is adversely affected by the level of corruption, which in turn increases criminal activities in a society. An evaluation of the effects of corruption on crimes, particularly homicides, is important for the existing academic discourse. Using time series data from both Transparency International for the years 2000-2013, and the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crimes for the years 2005 through 2013, the paper forecasts on the mentioned the corruption perception levels in India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh, and the effects of corruption on the homicide rates for the years 2014-2018. The preliminary forecasts suggest that the level of corruption would decrease in both India and Bangladesh, and this would ultimately decrease the homicide rates in upcoming years.

Authors

• Angela Majors, Elizabeth City State University

• Desirae Smith, Elizabeth City State University

• Victoria Whitaker, Elizabeth City State University

• Li'Shauna Spruill, Elizabeth City State University

• Ashley Flowe, Elizabeth City State University

• Shyamal Kumar Das, Elizabeth City State University