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Objective: To evaluate the impact of state-level policy changes on assaults of law enforcement officers (LEOs) in the United States.
Methods: Pooled time series and cross-sections with Poisson regression were used to estimate the impact of changes to right-to-carry (RTC), three strikes, and permit-to-purchase (PTP) handgun laws on fatal and nonfatal assaults of LEOs. LEO assaults were stratified by weapon type (all methods, firearm, and handgun) and fatal outcome. Data was available 1984-2010 for fatal assaults and 2002-2010 for nonfatal assaults from the Law Enforcement Officers Killed and Assaulted database.
Results: RTC laws showed no association with fatal or nonfatal assaults. Three strikes laws were associated with a 31% increase in fatal firearm assaults (p<0.014). Missouri’s 2007 repeal of its PTP law was associated with a 166% increase in nonfatal handgun assaults (p<0.019).
Conclusions: Three strikes laws and the repeal of Missouri’s PTP handgun law increased the risk of firearm-related assaults to LEOs. Policymakers should consider potential risks to LEOs when considering policies of this type.
Cassandra Kercher Crifasi, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
Daniel Webster, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health