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Age Structure, Disengaged Youth, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Violence: Unravelling the Macro-level Age-Crime Paradox

Wed, Nov 16, 11:00am to 12:20pm, Hilton, Grand Salon 16, 1st Level

Abstract

Criminological research has long recognized that violent offending is disproportionately concentrated among youth and young adults. However, macro-level studies routinely find that the relative size of the youthful population (e.g., percent ages 15-29) has mixed effects on place-level violence, with many studies showing lower rates of violent crime in locations with greater shares of youth. Recent studies suggest that these puzzling findings are due to a failure to disaggregate “disengaged” youthful populations from those that are attached to school, the workforce, or other mainstream institutions. However, research has yet to explore these relationships across race/ethnicity. The current study extends this line of research by exploring (1) race/ethnicity-specific effects of age structure (percent ages 15-29) on year 2010 violent crime rates for 232 census places in California and New York, and (2) the degree to which race/ethnicity-specific shares of disengaged youth account for age structure-violence relationships among white, black, and Latino populations. Implications of our findings for research on age, race, and crime and related theoretical perspectives suggesting invariance in age-crime and race-crime relationships are discussed.

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