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Examining the Influence of Neighborhood Characteristics on Near Repeat Auto Thefts

Thu, Nov 17, 7:15 to 8:15pm, Hilton, Grand Ballroom A, 1st Level

Abstract

Research on near-repeat patterns has shown that initial crime events increase the likelihood of follow-up crime events within close proximity over a certain period of time for several different crimes, including shootings, robberies, aggravated assaults, burglaries and motor vehicle thefts. The current study examines a near repeat pattern of motor vehicle theft in Newark, NJ. The results show that near repeat pattern is evident in the area within 600 feet and 4 days after a previous incident. That is, vehicles that are parked within 600 feet of a previous incident are at higher risk of being stolen up to 4 days following the initial event. Examination of the effect of socioeconomic characteristics of neighborhoods on the near repeat patterns indicates that initiator events which produce near-repeats or subsequent incidents are more likely to cluster in disadvantaged neighborhoods. The study further explores the influence of physical characteristics of neighborhoods have on the distribution of initiator events.

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