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Geographic Variation in Misdemeanor Arrests Over Time in New York City

Wed, Nov 15, 2:00 to 3:20pm, Marriott, Franklin 7, 4th Floor

Abstract

From 1995 to 2010, misdemeanor arrest rates in New York City more than doubled. Subsequently, from 2011 to 2015, misdemeanor arrest rates declined sharply. This paper will use “neighborhood effects” and social disorganization frameworks to better understand these trends at the precinct level. Using data provided by the New York City Police Department, the present study will examine geographic variation related to the increases and subsequent decreases in misdemeanor arrests by police precincts. Specifically, we will analyze the relative proportions of arrests by police precincts over time. Further, we will examine whether structural characteristics (e.g., socioeconomic status, demographics) and crime rates vary with these relative proportions. Results will provide a more nuanced understanding of trends in misdemeanor arrest rates over time.

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