The Changing Risks of Exposure to Gun Violence in Chicago from the Mid 1990s to 2020

• In Event: Additional Long-term Studies from PHDCN+ (Panel 2 of 2)

Abstract

This paper examines differences in the likelihood of gun violence victimization and exposure through early adulthood, drawing upon data from five survey waves on four birth cohorts of Chicago residents separated in age by 15 years who were studied over the period 1995-2021. Emphasis is put on understanding differences in gun victimization by race, class, cohort, and childhood factors. Specifically, we leverage the multicohort design of the PHDCN+ to examine race, class, and cohort interactions in the probability of being shot or seeing someone else get shot. We estimate the risk of ever being victimized or exposed to gun violence using survival models.

Authors

• Charles C. Lanfear, University of Oxford

• Robert J. Sampson, Harvard University

• David S. Kirk, University of Oxford