Predicting Future Hate Crimes in a New York City Borough Using Noise Complaints and Land Rezoning

• In Event: Hate Crimes: What, Where, Why and Who is Most Vulnerable?

Abstract

Hate crimes warrant further investigation as victim outcomes of hate crimes are severe compared to other crimes. At the neighborhood level, hate crimes generally happen in places where people from various cultural, social, and economic backgrounds meet. Our study uses open-source data from New York City, including 311 Noise Complaints, NYC Land Use Tax Output, and New York City Police Department (NYPD) data. The current research project is a follow-up study to Lettieri et al. (2023). Using symbolic threat and defended neighborhoods as a theoretical framework, the present study investigates the relationship between the number of hate crimes and noise complaints and new or altered buildings within specific land zones. The study also uses the results calculated from historical data and census data to predict election districts and census tracts with the highest likelihood of having hate crimes in a specific year.

Authors

• Kenji Logie, John Jay College of Criminal Justice / CUNY Graduate Center

• Jess Lettieri, John Jay College of Criminal Justice / CUNY Graduate Center

• Jinuk Jeong, CUNY Graduate Center / John Jay College of Criminal Justice