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Defining and Estimating the Illegal Gambling Market: An Evidence-Based Approach

Wed, Nov 13, 8:00 to 9:20am, Sierra H - 5th Level

Abstract

This study analyzes the definition and estimation of illicit gambling markets. Using a mixed-method approach, it combines a systematic scoping review with qualitative interviews of six international experts. Key findings define illegal gambling broadly, covering activities deemed unlawful by prevailing laws, with challenges including economic, social, and regulatory implications. Accurate estimation is crucial for effective regulation, consumer protection, and policy formulation, necessitating an integrated approach.
Two main estimation approaches, top-down and bottom-up, are identified, each with strengths and limitations. A hybrid approach is recommended to balance the advantages of both methods. Methodological challenges include legal complexities, ethical data collection, financial constraints, and regional variations, emphasizing the importance of compliance, privacy protection, and regional nuances. While innovative, the study acknowledges limitations such as potential biases and regional biases in interviews. Future research should focus on standardized methodologies, advanced analytical techniques, and mechanisms for enhanced transparency.

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