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Teen dating violence (TDV) varies significantly by sexuality (cis v LGBTQIA+) and gender identity, with LGBTQIA+ and transgender youth facing unique challenges and higher risks. While these elevated risks have been documented with several sources, there is a paucity of research that has examined whether the factors that both protect against and increase the likelihood of TDV are similar or different across gender identities and sexuality subgroups. Using the 2023 Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YBRS), this paper first predicts the probability of experiencing TDV for a full sample using the variables known to affect this probability including previous childhood abuse, social bonds (e.g., to family and school), and other demographic characteristics. Next, sexuality and gender identity-specific models are examined to determine the etiological similarities and differences that exist in predicting TDV across subgroups. Limitations and suggestions for policy and future research are discussed.