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Incarceration and Wage Mobility Revisited: Jail versus Prison Incarceration

Wed, Nov 12, 5:00 to 6:20pm, 2, Dogwood - Second Floor

Abstract

This paper is an extension of the seminal study by Western (2002) and explores whether jail and prison incarceration have different or similar long-term effects on wage mobility. In a model using person fixed effects, Western (2002) found that wages were 15% lower among formerly incarcerated individuals, and that wages grow 30% slower after incarceration. We estimate differences by race, ethnicity, and gender and adjust for the selectivity of wage earners using a control function with accumulated work status. We also test alternative estimators largely unavailable in 2002, such as fixed slopes for age to purge the model of age-graded heterogeneity in the wage profiles. The consequences of our findings for aggregate levels of racial wage inequality in the United States are discussed.

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