Poster #76 - Trajectories of Noncompliance Among Women on Probation: Patterns, Predictors, and Supervision Outcomes

• In Event: Poster Session I (posters 1 - 79)

Abstract

Women represent a growing share of the probation population, yet research on their supervision experiences remains limited relative to studies of men. This study examines patterns of noncompliance among women on probation and the individual, case-level, and officer-level characteristics associated with violations and revocations over time. Drawing on administrative data from a Midwestern county probation department, we analyze all women's probation cases spanning 2014 to 2019. The dataset includes both misdemeanor and felony cases, as well as straight probation and split sentences, and captures detailed information on client characteristics, supervision conditions, officer attributes, and case outcomes.

Using person-centered trajectory analysis, we identify distinct patterns of noncompliance across specific violation categories during the first 12 months of supervision. We then examine which characteristics of women, their cases, and their probation officers predict trajectory membership and are associated with formal outcomes, including technical violations and revocations. Findings contribute to scholarship on gendered supervision experiences and carry direct implications for practitioners seeking to better support women's successful completion of probation.

Authors

• Abby Novotny, Indiana University Bloomington

• Dylan Stoltz, Indiana University

• Miriam Northcutt Bohmert, Indiana University Bloomington

• Evan M. Lowder, George Mason University