Who Would Leave Slovakia if Russia Invaded?: The Economic, Political, Demographic, and Religious Determinants of Slovaks' Propensity to Flee Abroad

• In Event: Waiting for Liberation: Authoritarian Rule in Slovakia

Abstract

After a theoretical and historical overview of earlier refugee flows from Slovakia, I use logistic regression models of data from the "Ako sa máte, Slovensko?" survey of March and April of 2022--just after the Russian invasion of Ukraine--to analyze Slovaks' answers to questions on whether and where they would flee if their country became part of the war zone. Tentative results suggest that more highly educated, left-of-center, urban, secular, and younger residents of the western border regions would be more likely to seek refuge outside the country.

Author

• Joel Fetzer, Pepperdine U