The Ukraine Effect: Evolving Perceptions of Russia, China, and the West in Central Asia

• In Event: Public Opinion and International Security: Identity, Media, and Influence in Central Asia and Eastern Europe

Abstract

This study examines how public attitudes toward foreign powers in Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan have evolved following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Using survey data from the Central Asia Barometer, I find that favorable views of Russia declined in both countries after the invasion, with Kazakhstan experiencing a more pronounced and sustained drop. Interestingly, this decline was primarily driven by ethnic Russians rather than titular groups.

Author

• Hannah Chapman, U of Oklahoma