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Empirical measures in offender evaluation: Static-99R and the Pathological Narcissism Inventory

Fri, September 13, 8:00 to 9:15am, Faculty of Law, University of Bucharest, Floor: Basement, Room 0.11

Abstract

Empirical actuarial measures are significantly more accurate than unstructured clinical judgments in predicting recidivism risk of incarcerated populations across different cultures.
In the evaluation of offender rehabilitation, it is important to take into consideration both risk evaluation and personal factors. In this regard we present a validation study on the Static99R, an actuarial measure for risk assessment and preliminary data for personal assessment using PNI measure for pathological narcissism.
In a retrospective study, we examined the predictive validity of the Static-99R, the actuarial measure most used around the world for assessing the recidivism risk of persons who committed a sexual offense (PCS), in a sample of 518 male PCS in Romania. The results showed a good predictive validity for any kind of recidivism (area under the curve [AUC] = .70) and a slightly lower predictive accuracy for violent (AUC = .69) and sexual recidivism (AUC = .67). The Romanian version of the Static-99R has been shown as a valid, useful tool to predict sexual, violent, and general recidivism for Romanian PCS.
Pathological Narcissism Inventory (Pincus, 2009) is a 52 items questionnaire investigating pathological narcissism with sub-factors grandiosity and vulnerability. Preliminary data for both juvenile and adult prison population, and possible applications for the rehabilitation process are discussed.

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