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Educational attainment trajectories among female offenders: An administrative data linkage study

Fri, September 5, 5:00 to 6:15pm, Deree | JSB Library, Floor: Main level, JSB Library Conference Room [LCR]

Abstract

Educational attainment is a well-established risk factor for later offending, however, patterns of change in attainment over time in offenders have not been fully considered. This study investigated the link between long-term educational attainment and offending in a group of female offenders. Three main research questions were explored: (1) How do educational attainment trajectories vary between females and males? (2) How do educational attainment trajectories vary between female offenders and females who have not offended? (3) How do educational attainment trajectories vary according to female re-offending trajectory group membership? To answer these research questions, UK administrative data from a linked Ministry of Justice (MoJ) and Department for Education (DfE) dataset was used to create a large cohort of individuals born from 1st September 1990 to 31st August 1997. Educational attainment scores were available from the National Pupil Database from Key Stage 1 (5-7 years), Key Stage 2 (7-11 years) and Key Stage 4 (14-16 years). Scores were standardised according to mean attainment at each academic year. Offending information was drawn from the Police National Computer, which contained records of all convictions or cautions for offences from the age of criminal responsibility (10 years) up to the end of the year 2020. The study used a series of linear mixed models to explore the differences in educational attainment trajectories from Key Stage 1 to 4, between (1) males and females, (2) female offenders and non-offenders and (3) distinct female re-offending trajectories (identified in a previous study using latent class analysis). Findings will be discussed within the context of previous literature and policy recommendations will be suggested based on the findings.

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