US Presidential Elections, General Deterrence, and Crises Among US Allies and Enemies

• In Event: International Alliances and Domestic Politics

Brief Overview

I hypothesize a connection between US presidential elections and crises among other states. US president's campaign-related resolve to defend US allies emboldens them while other states become more timid. Empirical results support my hypotheses.

Author

• Kerim Can Kavakli, Bocconi University