Expected Presidential Support in Congress: How Does Donald Trump Compare to Past Presidents?

• In Event: The Presidency and Congress

Brief Overview

FiveThirtyEight’s Trump plus-minus score estimates how much more or less MCs support Trump than should be expected given his vote in their districts. This paper refines 538’s model and estimates plus-minus scores for presidents since Eisenhower.

Authors

• Jon R. Bond, Texas A&M University-College Station

• Manny Teodoro, Texas A&M University