Evaluating Political Polling Performance on Four Quantities of Interest

• In Event: Political Methodology and American Politics

Brief Overview

Evaluate political poll performance on four unique quantities of interest: bias, absolute error, coverage, and power. Using thousands of polls from recent elections, we show that polls still perform well in some areas but poorly in others.

Authors

• Carey Stapleton, University of Colorado Boulder

• Dalton Dorr, University of Colorado, Boulder