Evo Morales and Electoral Fraud in Bolivia: A Natural Experiment and Discontinuity Evidence

• In Event: Parties, Elections, and Candidates

Brief Overview

We use a unique data set and a natural experiment to identify and estimate the size of electoral fraud in the 2019 Bolivian presidential elections. We estimate fraud to be 2.50% of valid votes, sufficient to change the outcome of the election.

Authors

• Diego Escobari, The University of Texas Rio Grande Valley

• Gary Hoover, Tulane University