Predicting the 2020 Presidential Election: Voter Choice, Campaigns, and Media

• In Event: Election Forecasting

Brief Overview

I completed this paper in 09/2020. This fall, I will present it for the 2021 APSA conference. I predicted a Biden win based on an analysis of scholarship on party ID, the pandemic, changing demographics, campaigns/media, and polarization.

Author

• Danielle Christina Dougall, California State University-Long Beach